Down rounds are part of the cycle
Startups that raised at high valuations in 2021–2022 later faced pressure to raise below their previous price — a down round. Korean investment research team A-by-Plus summarized Carta data:
- Down rounds exceeded 20% of new venture rounds in seven of eight quarters from Q2 2023 to Q1 2025.
- In Q3 2025, about 17% of rounds were down rounds — the lowest share in nearly three years.
- In Q4 2025, the share fell below 14%.
- Tender offers rose 62% in 2025 to 396, as companies provided liquidity without repricing.
Down rounds aren’t exceptional failures; they’re a phase after valuations peak. In Korea, where statistics are less transparent, the same pressure shows up as delayed or restructured follow-on rounds. According to the source, new Korean venture investment reached 9.8 trillion won through Q3 2025, with 83.4% from private capital — a recovery, but one concentrated in proven tracks and deep tech, raising the bar for early-stage companies.
Options before repricing
- Bridge rounds: convertible notes or SAFEs buy time until the next priced round, linked to future pricing via discounts and caps. A low cap just postpones the down round, and stacked notes can concentrate dilution at conversion.
- Structured rounds: keep the headline valuation but add 1.5x–2x liquidation preferences, participating preferred or stronger anti-dilution. The surface number holds; the economics may resemble a down round.
- Flat rounds: raise at the same valuation without onerous terms — the cleanest defense.
- Recapitalizations: restructure preferred stock and debt, sometimes using pay-to-play provisions to convert non-participating investors’ preferred into common.
- M&A: a soft landing through strategic acquisition when independent financing is hard.
Combinations are common, such as a bridge followed by a flat round.
Full ratchet vs. weighted average
The anti-dilution clause in the term sheet determines how damaging a down round is. Suppose Series A investors paid €2 per share and the down round prices at €1:
- Full ratchet drops the conversion price all the way to the new price, so one preferred share converts into two common shares. Founders and common holders absorb nearly all the loss.
- Weighted average uses an adjusted price reflecting issuance size — about €1.5 in the example — so one preferred share converts into roughly 1.5 common shares, and investors share some dilution.
Broad-based weighted average, which counts convertible securities, options and warrants in the denominator, favors founders and is the market standard. The clause lies dormant until a down round happens, then cuts founder ownership exactly when money is tightest. Locking in broad-based weighted average at the first signing is the cheapest insurance.
Negotiation points to limit dilution
- Read terms separately from the valuation; a clean flat round can beat a higher valuation loaded with terms.
- Use pay-to-play to separate investors who fund the round from those who don’t, simplifying the cap table.
- Negotiate option pool refreshes and repricing alongside the round; underwater options drive key talent away.
- For bridges, model caps, discounts and cumulative note dilution in advance.
Manage people as well as money
A down round is a morale event as much as a financial one. Hiding it destroys trust; announcing it without context causes panic. Frame it as a market cycle and share the runway and metric targets clearly. For a founder who built without outside capital, see a bootstrapped founder running seven AI products at $1M a month, and for what investors check first, cohort retention.